´´ Benjamin Graham - Investement vs. Speculation

Friday, February 1, 2013

Benjamin Graham - Investement vs. Speculation

Old-time investment, with its emphasis on book value and the past record, was shortsighted and naive, but it posessed the supreme virtue of moderation. Present-day "investment". as practiced by investment trust and everyone else, is not much more than an undisciplined wagering upon the future and as such logically indistinguishable from speculation.

Common stocks have one important characteristics (...) investment value (...) tend to increase irregularly but persistently over the decades, as their net worth builds up through reinvestment of undistributed earnings (...) no clear-cut plus or minus response to inflation.

(...) comon-stock (...) regarded as highly speculative or risky at a time when they were selling on a most attractive basis (...)

It is undoubtedly true that the old-time investor laid too much stress upon book values and too little upon what the property can earn. It was a salutary step to ignore the figures at which the plant were carried on the books, unless they showed a commensurate earning power. But like most sound ideas in Wall Street, this one was carried too far. It resulted in excessive emphasis being laid on the reported earnings - which might be only be temoratory or even deceptive - and in a complete eclipse of what had always been regarded as a vital factor in security values, namely the company's working capital position.


Source: Common Sense Investing: The Papers of Benjamin Graham

1 comment:

  1. This is more a general comment but partly addresses the content of the interview. Benjamin Graham's masterwork, "Security Analysis" has been published in 1934. This means at the worst of the 1929 Financial Crisis with an economy in full contraction.
    Therefore is it quite natural to see Graham then driven to value analysis.
    At the time of the above interview (maybe some 20 years later in the 50s ?), the world's economy is in full expansion. And it is just as natural to hear Graham "temper" some of it's further recommendations.
    The growth factor has been the ground of the success of his most famous student (Warren Buffett).
    Now a question : are we more in the 1930s or in the 1950s today ? In other words should we better be little Bens or little Warrens ? I shall try an answer : be a little Ben in a world of Warrens.
    Alf

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