Value Stocks Are Hot —But Most Investors Will Burn Out
By Jason Zweig
"Most people aren't cut out for value investing, because human nature
shrinks from pain," the money manager Jean-Marie Eveillard told me this
past week. His words are a reminder that making money on cheap
stocks—the goal of every value investor—is harder than it sounds and can
take years to play out (...).
(...) long-term rewards don't go to people who think value investing is easy.
Superior returns can be earned only by those who know that it is
hard—and stay put (...).
(...)The fund industry has long marketed the chimera of "consistency," the
idea that a great stock picker can always earn higher returns than the
market. Investors who buy into this myth often sell in a panic as soon
as the next crash proves that no stock picker can always outperform (...).
(...) Summit Street Capital Management, an investment partnership in New York,
recently analyzed a group of value investors with long records of
superior returns and found that even the best underperformed one-third
to 40% of the time. "It's hard not to get shaken out unless you
understand that and have conviction," says Summit Street partner
Jennifer Wallace (...).
(...) Since 1926, value stocks have outperformed growth stocks by an average of four percentage points annually (...)
(...) Nowadays, most value managers search for stocks that are cheap relative
to current or expected earnings. The bargain stocks in the best-known
Fama-French index were selected on a different measure: book value, a
basic yardstick of corporate net worth (...).
(...) To be a value investor, it isn't enough to buy cheap stocks or the funds
that own them. You have to stick around until the market recognizes
their worth. Mr. Eveillard, now 73 years old and an adviser to his old
fund, is still finding bargains in Japan and among gold-mining
stocks—but he is prepared to "suffer" until the market proves him right (...).
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